Illegal Immigration

Immigration Today: Emotion or Economics?

Note: The debate over illegal immigration is heating up again in Congress and has been a hot issue with the public for years. To say the issue is complicated and multi-faceted is an understatement. A Line of Sight has written extensively on the subject. This month we are grateful to Diedra Garcia for sharing her thoughts on the issue. Mrs. Garcia’s is President of a family owned $14 million multi-state construction company. She’s been recognized as one of Colorado’s leading entrepreneurs, participates in many civic activities, has been a Governor’s apointee, and is married with two teenage daughters.

Diedra GarciaIt is challenging if not impossible to go a day without being exposed to the topic of immigration to this country and the perceived impact it has. It is an unavoidable topic of conversation at work and at home as it is inevitably in the news on a regular basis. It was a most pressing issue in our last national election and I’m sure will be center stage in 2008. The US Congress has struggled to introduce and pass anything that even the extremists on either side of the issue can relate to and embrace, let alone a mainstream solution. In response, states like ours have taken the matter into their own hands, with Colorado passing the most sweeping reform legislation in the country in a 2006 special session.

In response to the emotions evoked, rallies and purchasing boycotts are held, one just recently in Denver, to demonstrate support by current immigrants and others for allowing some form of legal entrance to the U.S. Extremists on the other side, stir their own brand of emotions with perceived racist, harsh anti-any-immigration-whatsoever rhetoric. My own view of the subject is that people are exercising misplaced but valuable emotions, which could be better utilized elsewhere. The benefit to our workforce provided by immigration from other countries, Mexico included but not singled out, is an undeniable hard economic fact.

Some Context About This Author

To allow appropriate context, I should disclose that I am an employer in the commercial construction industry, conservative in my views and a registered, practicing Republican (“practicing” because the country made it clear in its last election that we aren’t getting it right yet). I believe in responsible choices by mature adults and not in government-mandated obligation to benefit our community. I believe that as individuals we appreciate, respect and value what we have worked hard for, by far over what is given to us. As the product of a set of divorced parents, I believe in the value of both mothers and fathers in the family unit. I like good hip hop music and will forever cherish the R&B music of the 70’s and 80’s, but I think hard core rap that objectifies women as sex tools for men, and typically substandard sex tools at that, is fundamentally societally destructive and should be censored if not banned altogether. I believe that market economic forces, left to their own devices will manage themselves, without undue government regulation/taxation. See? Fairly conservative. Told ya.

Although it may seem a contradiction, is it with that conservative perspective that I observe and comment on the issue of immigration. Unfortunately, many view the issue as either conservative or liberal; a party line invitation so obvious it doesn’t even need to be extended. However, I believe we mislead ourselves by attaching philosophical, emotional connotations to the issue, as it is our tendency to do. People get caught up at opposite ends on either side, with arguments like “immigration is what this country was founded on and stands for today” or “immigrants are just terrorists who haven’t been discovered yet.” The reality is that our economic engine has a demand for work that attracts with magnetic force, the supply of those who need to work.

The Numbers

The U.S. requires a birth rate of at least 2.1 or more to grow our economy. We are the world power house, currently at 2.0. However, this is not entirely or even primarily attributable to native born U.S. residents. It is the immigrant population that provides this population fertility and growth. This Hispanic population alone reportedly grew by nearly 10% in 2004, compared to the US growth rate of only 2.5%. This translates to over 7 million new births (with over 50% of them being Hispanic).

Our economy rightfully boasts 21% of the Gross National Product and world wealth. We do this currently with only 6% of the world’s population. Our less fortunate world neighbors (185 countries) have to share the production of 50% amongst themselves of the GNP or world wealth and they do it with 90% of the population.

The conclusion is that our economy, to sustain its production/supply of 50% must improve its supply of workers from only 6% to a number that can meet the need. Economically coincident to our need for workers, our less productive world neighbors have a huge supply of workers, presumably idle, since they are not needed to maintain a mere token percentage of world production or output (50% 185 countries).

Skilled and Unskilled—Both are Needed

Although I believe people try to make it a purely Mexican-oriented issue and I disagree with this, admittedly many of this supply comes from Hispanic and Asian countries (80%), with only 12% from Europe and Canada. This tends to relegate Mexico to the status of immigration poster child. Since current legalization resources are strained beyond capacity, naturalization is a virtual myth for so many. The demand created by the supply of work is anything but. Mexican immigrants continue to defy the border to access that supply. Their wages in Colorado, for example, can achieve about $6-10 per hour for unskilled labor. Their wage in Mexico for longer hours and the same labor, would be closer to $6 per week. In my view, the Mexican immigrants clearly have a handle on the economics of the situation as it relates to unskilled labor. There is an undeniable need for this type of laborer.

In addition to the need for unskilled labor, the professional, advanced and terminally degreed demand is huge and increasing. The number of H1B visas, granted for professionals like engineers and scientists to perform work for American companies is currently 65,000 per year. This number hasn’t changed in 17 years, despite the overwhelming shift in the economy to a service and technology base. The US Citizenship office received twice as many applications for the 2008 allotment on the first day they were available. Since the H1B is the employer’s tool for accessing highly skilled workers, this alone demonstrates a clear business demand.

Sad But True

It is often argued that immigrants take jobs away from American workers. As an employer, I contend this argument couldn’t be any more flawed. We are clearly not graduating the number of engineers as our eastern world neighbors. We are clearly not raising children who are forced to work barefooted in the streets to be able to eat, thank God. What about the dreaded topic of the ICE raid on the Swift Meat Packing plant in Greeley? I have worked very hard and will continue to do so, to ensure that my children don’t have to slaughter, slice and disassemble bloody cow parts and then mop up the remains afterward. I know most of us have.

Our U.S. children, for the most part, have a choice as to where they want to work until they either commit to an education or gain more work experience. Ask a manager of a fast food restaurant, whose workers are both immigrant adults and American teenagers, which group experiences the most employee turnover. Ask that same manager which group is deeply committed to their work, no matter how menial or physically demanding the task, with little complaining and a dedication to doing a hard days work. As an employer in the construction industry with two legal Mexican immigrants in our employ, I can attest the difference is astounding. Many (not all) of American unskilled labor we hire are a challenge to manage. They are selective about what work they feel they should have to do, watch the clock often for their reprieve, and jump from job to job until they find their “appropriate” place with an employer, where the “other guys” have to dig the trench.

The Only Answer

It is clear that our demand cannot be satisfied internally, unless we can start multiplying and reproducing ourselves at a physically impossible rate. We would also likely need to rethink families where both parents work, as someone really should play the caregiver role, which would again, defeat the purpose of trying to increase our labor pool. I suspect this responsibility would fall to women and take them out of the workforce which would be a clear step backward for our society as it’s taken this long to prove that we can be both mothers and important professional role models for our children. In the years it would take these newborns to grow into working age adults, we would have completely forfeited any competitive advantage as a country.

My question is this: why would we fight market economics to accommodate extremist rhetoric?

The issue is not who was born here and have a right to be here versus who was born in Mexico—err, other countries (ok, indulge me just one cynical editorial comment). The issue is how can we manage immigration to our competitive advantage? We need a clear and accessible path for legal immigration—one that actually meets the demand for workers, not the “virtual” process that exists today. We need a system for identifying and processing those who are already here and contributing to the economy (as well as identifying those relative few who are committing crimes and must be returned). Many of these workers are paying into federal benefit systems such as Social Security, and will never be entitled to benefit personally. I believe they should be counted and taxed, including some form of payment to absorb our costs for having to completely reinvent our system to accommodate the influx. This could be either financial or a community service requirement. I believe the stream of immigrants should and would gladly pay their way and expect no public assistance. My theory is that they would work and appreciate the physical and financial investment they had to make to come here and they might even set an example for the rest of us.

Emotion is understood but wasted on this issue. Our economy has spoken loudly and clearly and told us it is hungry. To deprive it nourishment it would make it weak. However, our economy has its own innate survival mechanism and feeds itself in the absence of an institutionalized diet. We need to dispense with emotional rhetoric and focus on what we face – a U.S. economic imperative.

My Thanks

With the exception of my information sources -- the Congressional Research Service, The U.S. Census Bureau, The Colorado Lawyer, October 2006 issue, The Rocky Mountain News, Editorial, December 15, 2006 issue -- these views are solely my personal reflections, biases and opinions. I welcome the opportunity to share them as well as the opportunity to hear others.

Diedra Garcia is President and CEO of DRG Construction Corp., a family-owned corporation. The Denver Business Journal has named her the Outstanding Woman of the Year for Business (Construction and Real Estate) and one of Colorado's most influential younger business leaders (40 Under 40). She has been honored as Business Woman of the Year by the Denver Hispanic Chamber of Commerce as well.

6 comments (Add your own)

1. LTC Thomas F. Dooley, USA(Retired) wrote:
Bob,
Her whole diatribe defends Illegal Immigration and totally disregards the National Security aspect of porous borders and allowing Illegals to enter this country illegally and do MAJOR harm to the US population and accordingly the US economy.
Regards,
Tom Dooley

May 15, 2007 @ 12:47 PM

2. wrote:
Hurah to Diedra for a well-written article! There is definitely a great need in this country for unskilled, semiskilled and technical workers. However, our country has failed us in providing a legal and orderly process to staff jobs that we can't fill with American labor. Along with workers, however, come people who devalue the contributions of hard-working people who fill our jobs; for example, we have 30,000 known illegal gang members who are permiating our communities.

One of our problems, as I see it, is that our country doesn't have the political will to do what it takes to truly enforce our borders. Sadly, I think we will be talking about solving this problem for a long time to come.

Regards,
Ada Diaz Kirby
May 22, 2007

May 22, 2007 @ 5:38 PM

3. wrote:
No one that I know is arguing that ALL immigration is bad and should be stopped, and the continued obfuscation of the real issue serves no one. The real issue, the one that really matters, that should matter to all is the major founding issue of this country: The Rule of Law. Lex Rex, not Rex Lex - the Law is King, not the King is Law.

Regardless of the demand for workers, or the need to keep the population growth at or above a certain level, or the inability to deport 12-20-? million, or whatever the excuse the law has been and is being broken on a daily basis. Honesty also requires one to state that there's really little motivation for them to stop. Do a search for Maywood, California to see where this whole idea trends. (Heather Mac Donald of the Manhattan Institute wrote about it in the City Journal.)

How many times have we been promised that "this time we'll fix the problem", only to see nothing but a Get Out of Jail Free card given out en masse? There's no evidence, no sign that the government will fix the border issue - it's not done so in the past - it won't even build the wall that was approved and funded last year!

To repeat the oft used analogy: first you turn the water off, then you figure out how to get the water cleaned up in your flooded basement.

May 30, 2007 @ 10:24 AM

4. Winston Collier wrote:
The first fact is that we are talking about criminals - they willingly and knowingly broke the law and continue to do so by their presence here. I helped give them clothing and bring food to them as part of my Catholic Charity work, but that compassion does not change the FACT that they are breaking the law and doing so with forethought, planning and knowledge that they are committing a criminal act.

Now, to the matters at hand: First off, what will it cost?

The bill as it stands does not provide adequate estimates of the cost of the entitlements it will grant to the lawbreakers, and it has no cost as to enforcements. The CBO has NOT done a cost breakdown or analysis of the impact this will have on social security, welfare, midcare/medicaid, and so on, not to mention the impact on DHS, the Border Patrol, CIS and ICE. You completely omit this - how can you be so irresponsible as to ignore the damage it does to the fiscal soundness of the US Government?


Next, it is unrealistic and wrong when it comes to the vital job of processing the amnesty applications. The CIS today is BROKEN and admits it cannot keep track of the 5 million LEGAL visas it processes every year - so how are we to believe that these 12 million criminals will be able to b adequately investigated, much less tracked by such a broken system?

It also omits any enforcement measures in "sanctuary" areas that woudl require them to check fo illegals who decide to not participate and continue to be here illegally - and no provisions for finances and personnel to deport those who break the new laws. It has no teeth - its Simpson-Mazzoli all over again, which means we will face even more illegals in a decade!

Furthermore, how will it prevent extension of entitlements when they are granted under the 14th amendment, as the courts are bound to do? I see nothing in there that would do anything than grant them legal standing to sue under the 14th amendment give Title VI granting them so many other rights. So thats a hidden cost that you do not examine - making your analysis even more flawed.

The look at the "hidden" immigration amnesty - On top of the 12 million here, there are another 20 or so million who will enter under the "chain migration" which admits parents, siblings, and adult children in addition to the illegal him/her self. So the real number we are talking about is closer to 40-50 MILLION in the next 5 years. Calling it 12 million is a lie.

Another thing: the "Jobs Americans will not do" argument is garbage. The Swift plant firings of the illegals and criminals (document fraud) rew people from as far away as Minnesota to apply and do those jobs. Furthermore, economic studies have shown if all the illegal harvesting help were eliminated, it would add at most about 10 cents to the price of a head of lettuce, and a few thousand to the price of a home. Indeed, the farm sector before rampant illegals were aoverrunign the border had to improve automation, and that is one of the reasons why food, in constant dollar terms, ahs actually declined in price! Not cheap labor, but better application of automation. If "cheap labor" were the key to economic prosperity, as you argue that it is, then please explain the mass poverty in the third world - where cheap labor abounds. The value-add of "cheap labor" is very low.

So you're wrong on that one as well.

Additionally, the studies done here in Colorado estimated that illegals cost the state over a billion in social services and over 2 billion in lower wages. I understand construction companies and hotels want cheap disposable labor, but I'm not willing to sell out my nation's future for profit.

Also, one other thing you omit from your analysis: studies show that these workers would add an additional $10K in takes - but consume $20K in public funds!

So How are we to pay for all this? And again, how much will it cost? Those questions are NOT in the bill and they need to be answered before it becomes law. Do you deny that it is the fiscal and Constitutional responsibility of the Congress to do so? Or do you think they can wave their hands and create a free lunch? Try building a building before you know how much it will cost - and see how long your company lasts.

So you now know that is a losing argument as well. Another nail in the coffin of this defective bad bill.

Another problem with that analysis is that it completely ignores the problems of security and Other Than Mexicans. The OTM problem is bad, and will only get worse with the Amnesty - that is "Provision Z" grated to nearly anyone in the country if this bill is passed. Thats right, the Palestinian Hamas member and Saudi Al Qaeda supporter is eligible for it just like anyone else. Don't thing they exist? Read the Congressional report on Jihadis penetrating and transiting our souther border. Ignorance on this item is inexcusable on your part. Look here for more info

www.house.gov/mccaul/pdf/Investigaions-Border-Report.pdf

This amnesty is regardless of criminal activity, nation of origin, and employment status. It is incredible that you support no differentiation between people from "countries of interest" that could be potential terrorists, and Mexicans transiting illegally. Do you care that little for security? Read the Congressional report above - the trheat is real and getting worse every day that we are inactive - and now you want to legalize their existence and entry into the country?

And amongst the Mexicans, drug runners, gang members and so on are allowed to gain the temporary visas with minimal proof of identity, and only 48 hours to complete a background investigation. If they simply lie to the overworked interviewer about their gang affiliation, they get in free and clear. This is simply WRONG.

As you can see, I've basically addressed a lot of serious defects in this bill that you ignore or gloss over - and shown your points to be mainly petty appeals to emotions, class warfare, and culturalism. Your demographics argument doesnt pass muster with anyone that has studied Malthus and sees how wrong he was and you are. You're reduced to irrelevant supposition.

Deal with the facts I laid out above: Cost, Complexity, Security, Fairness. It fails on all those counts.

The cost to the nation is too high, and the bill is horridly defective and unjust, and does nothing to solve the security problems we face at our souther border - not to mention the lack of guards and guarantees of cultural assimilation for the illegals currently here.

People favoring this bill are selling out our security and future for the price of cultural advancement and cheap labor.

You should be ashamed.

June 1, 2007 @ 6:47 PM

5. Winston Collier wrote:
Lest anyone think I am anti-immigrant - I am not. We still have my wife's grandfather's naturalization certificate on the wall. He did it the right way, so should they.

From my charity work with the poor (where a lot of the Mexican illegals subsist), I can tell you first hand that the current system is broken - its too hard to get in legally, too easy to get in illegally. That needs to be fixed (and the bill does nothing to address the latter, only the former).

Here is what I want:

Fix the borders FIRST. Secure the boundaries of our nation against illegal entry and infiltration.

Next, fix the agencies and enforce the laws. Do NOT go after illegal workers, go after their employers. Fine heavily anyone employing illegals now.

Next: Find a way to get a "guest worker" program that lets the "illegals" come in here legally on truly temporary visas, but only after we secure the borders - and only after they leave and are checked and investigated as they re-enter under the guest worker program. After the guest workers are in place - and make it CRIMINAL sanctions, not civil ones, against the employers.

Finally - the ones that want it should be able to become citizens: After a few years on a GuestWorker Visa, open up the Green Card to these folks as long as they have paid their taxes, not been on public assistance, have not broken the laws and have a beginning mastery of English, and make it *cheaper* to get one! And finally, open up citizenship to anyone with a green card after a sufficient amount of time in the US without them being on welfare or breaking the law, having paid taxes and knowing English fluently, and demonstrating that they have assimilated, and passing a "cultural" exam on US history customs and values.

There must be teeth to prevent people from sneaking back in if they have not qualified for a visa, criminal and fiscal penalties severe enough to put employers at risk who hire illegals (more than "cost of doing business" fines we now have), and the organization to track, report on and so on people on these visas. Finally there must be teeth to quickly deport anyone that breaks the laws and is here illegally after the program is up and operational.

Thats the way out of this mess.

Some of this is already in the bill - but there is far too much bad stuff in there as I have pointed out previously - it needs to be defeated, and the parts passed individually, with cost and impact studies and it needs to be done in the right order:

1. Border Security.
2. Enforcement of the laws.
3. Visas and a path to citizenship.

Do it, but do it RIGHT.

And as a personal note:

Bob, I voted for you, and worked as a campaign volunteer for you in 02 and 04 in the 7th, and state wide in '06 (I sat phone banks for you several evenings, and walked 3 precincts in Aurora the weekend before the election). Frankly, You ran a horrible campaign in 06, not at all like yourself in 04, Im wondering what happened? I guess we all have an off year.

In my opinion, you should have listened to us grass roots people -- I answered your "should I run for Gov" survey you mailed out - a firm NO. And you should have stayed in the 7th with us, you'd still be in Congress on the Ways & Means Cmte building seniority and reputation for a Senate run in the future. You would have smoked Perlmutter last year in spite of the "perfect storm" over earmarks, corruption, spending and Iraq that slaughtered Republicans across the map.

That being said: If you support this, you'll never get my vote, time or money for anything ever again.

Ask the RNC how they are doing with donations since this started. Off by 40% or more.

Tell your fellow "Country Club Repubs": Stop BS'ing us rank and file. We may nto be high rollers in the eleite clubs with you guys, but you cannot win without us "Sam's Club Repubs" - 2006 proved that. Start listening to us NOW - especially on this bill. Or we will vote with our checkbooks and feet. Think we have no place else to go?

Wrong.

I remind you of your US Political history: the Whigs were one of the 2 major parties up until 1850. They vaporized when their core left to form the Republican Party. Remember that and choose wisely what you will do regarding support of this terrible flawed and defective immigration "reform" (Amnesty) bill. And we are not sheep anymore - quite a few of us have started showing our sheepdog fangs when you threaten us and try to fool us. You guys can do nothing without us "Sam's Club Repubs", and if you need a reminder we will be glad to provide it again.

Consider yourself informed - and warned.

June 1, 2007 @ 7:25 PM

6. Winston Collier wrote:
Forgot:

Winston Collier
Aurora CO

US Army Veteran
Former Civilian Intelligence Analyst
Current Information Engineer, ADF, Buckley AFB

June 1, 2007 @ 7:27 PM

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